Sunday
Jun032012
The Long Road Home
Sunday, June 3, 2012 at 11:53AM The world is in the midst of an economic war of attrition. As in a marathon road race, countries, like runners, try to position themselves to survive the race and win it, if possible. The stronger and better trained one is prior to the start of the race, the better your chances for success. Winning requires careful planning and an understanding of your opponents' weaknesses. Weaker opponents will try to sabotage the stronger competitors to even the odds. The stronger competitors study the weaker and capitalize wherever possible.
All of America's enemies depend completely on the American and Western European economies in order to thrive in this world. Russia, China, and the oil producing radical Islamic nations are all ultimately dependent on Western consumption to survive as political entities. North Korea, being subservient to big brother China, is in this group as well.
If America consumes less due to recession, Chinese factories close, and the Chinese national economy grinds down. Chinese workers lose their ability to provide their families a decent life and begin to protest against their oligarchal communist regime. With 1.4 billion people, Chinese leaders can never feel safe in their ability to control the masses. If the masses rebel, the regime falls and the country splits apart.
Russia and Iran depend on high oil and energy prices to maintain their governments in power. Their people were unhappy when the price of oil was over $100/barrel. Let's see what happens when the price comes down to $60 for an extended period of time. How safe are these regimes from their own people? Their leaders will have to sleep with one eye open. Their cultural survival will be at stake.
In essence, America is disproportionately damaging her enemies with the global recession. It's a machination to weaken those who wish for the destruction of democracy in this world. "The Western Way of Life" will survive this, our enemies will not.
Not ignorant to the facts, our enemies will initially do everything in their power to weaken the Western World. They will try to divide Europe from the US politically and support anti-American programs in the United States. China will threaten to sell their US government debt. Russia and Iran may attempt to coerce decreased oil production to drive up prices. None of this will work in the long term, and they know it.
In the end, Russia will need to come over to our side. They know that negotiations on Arctic energy policy and future energy sales to Europe hang in the balance. If they don't support the United States in her plans for global peace, they will pay a high economic cost for the next 100 years. The better part of their nature will eventually force them to agree and cooperate with America.
On the other hand, China, North Korea, and Iran are much more ideological players. They will resist at every turn. They sense that America is slowly going to strangulate them. The recent US "Pacific Pivot", consisting of increased American naval and military appropriations to the Western Pacific and South China Sea regions, tells China in no uncertain terms that America is ready for war if necessary. China will increase their own naval buildup in the region and may even strike in the South China Sea before America's position is complete by 2020. Tensions will rise dramatically over the next few years.
As the Iranian economy dies, Iranian military extremism will increase. Their plans for control of Syria and Lebanon will be directly contested by the US, Britain, France, and Israel very shortly. The stage is being set for a showdown in the Middle East. The full process may take a few years to reach a climax, but a crisis point will occur unless Iran falls from within beforehand.
So as you see, we are in a marathon race with our enemies. This long road of economic attrition will have numerous casualties, many of them friendly. It is an accepted part of the process to weaken those that want our national demise. In the end, they will suffer much more existential damage than the "Freeworld". American capitalism and democracy will survive and be stronger than ever before. American ingenuity will outlast all others. There may be ugly offshoots from this process in Europe. Radical extremist Fascism is likely to re-emerge during hard economic times. America will deal with that as it has dealt with all her problems throughout her history. The virtues of "American Amaranth" will stand the test of time. Honor, courage, love, hope, freedom, and justice will guide our way, as they have done in the past. God bless our great country and our unique "American Amaranth".
All of America's enemies depend completely on the American and Western European economies in order to thrive in this world. Russia, China, and the oil producing radical Islamic nations are all ultimately dependent on Western consumption to survive as political entities. North Korea, being subservient to big brother China, is in this group as well.
If America consumes less due to recession, Chinese factories close, and the Chinese national economy grinds down. Chinese workers lose their ability to provide their families a decent life and begin to protest against their oligarchal communist regime. With 1.4 billion people, Chinese leaders can never feel safe in their ability to control the masses. If the masses rebel, the regime falls and the country splits apart.
Russia and Iran depend on high oil and energy prices to maintain their governments in power. Their people were unhappy when the price of oil was over $100/barrel. Let's see what happens when the price comes down to $60 for an extended period of time. How safe are these regimes from their own people? Their leaders will have to sleep with one eye open. Their cultural survival will be at stake.
In essence, America is disproportionately damaging her enemies with the global recession. It's a machination to weaken those who wish for the destruction of democracy in this world. "The Western Way of Life" will survive this, our enemies will not.
Not ignorant to the facts, our enemies will initially do everything in their power to weaken the Western World. They will try to divide Europe from the US politically and support anti-American programs in the United States. China will threaten to sell their US government debt. Russia and Iran may attempt to coerce decreased oil production to drive up prices. None of this will work in the long term, and they know it.
In the end, Russia will need to come over to our side. They know that negotiations on Arctic energy policy and future energy sales to Europe hang in the balance. If they don't support the United States in her plans for global peace, they will pay a high economic cost for the next 100 years. The better part of their nature will eventually force them to agree and cooperate with America.
On the other hand, China, North Korea, and Iran are much more ideological players. They will resist at every turn. They sense that America is slowly going to strangulate them. The recent US "Pacific Pivot", consisting of increased American naval and military appropriations to the Western Pacific and South China Sea regions, tells China in no uncertain terms that America is ready for war if necessary. China will increase their own naval buildup in the region and may even strike in the South China Sea before America's position is complete by 2020. Tensions will rise dramatically over the next few years.
As the Iranian economy dies, Iranian military extremism will increase. Their plans for control of Syria and Lebanon will be directly contested by the US, Britain, France, and Israel very shortly. The stage is being set for a showdown in the Middle East. The full process may take a few years to reach a climax, but a crisis point will occur unless Iran falls from within beforehand.
So as you see, we are in a marathon race with our enemies. This long road of economic attrition will have numerous casualties, many of them friendly. It is an accepted part of the process to weaken those that want our national demise. In the end, they will suffer much more existential damage than the "Freeworld". American capitalism and democracy will survive and be stronger than ever before. American ingenuity will outlast all others. There may be ugly offshoots from this process in Europe. Radical extremist Fascism is likely to re-emerge during hard economic times. America will deal with that as it has dealt with all her problems throughout her history. The virtues of "American Amaranth" will stand the test of time. Honor, courage, love, hope, freedom, and justice will guide our way, as they have done in the past. God bless our great country and our unique "American Amaranth".
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